The US has launched further strikes on Iran after Donald Trump declared that the contested Strait of Hormuz was open to all ship traffic except for the gulf state.
It feels like we're sliding toward a larger conflict with very little room for diplomacy here. While maintaining open shipping lanes is critical for the global economy, does escalating the strikes actually secure the Strait, or does it just give Iran more justification to tighten their grip? I wonder if there's a breaking point where this strategy stops being a deterrent.
One moment, "the US is making it up as they go". Another moment, they are ochestrating elaborate coups and controlling nations. Which one is it? Make up your mind.
The war is a smokescreen for something much bigger, unfortunately these clowns on LBC and most of the people leaving comments on here are clueless about what that is. Living under a rock with your cold dark ignorance must be so taxing. 🤫
Personally I think hostilities will come to an end when energy and fertilizer shortages make themselves felt at WalMart and elsewhere. When it's no longer a question of whether you pay a little more for stuff, but of whether stuff is available at all.
The Thucydides Trap: A Choice, Not an Inevitability.
The Thucydides trap is not an inevitable law of history. It is the consequence of a hubris that insists on a unipolar world long after its time has passed. The U.S. response to Iran's assertion of sovereignty confirms the centrality of the Thucydidean logic. By targeting Iran's ability to influence the Strait of Hormuz and launching campaigns to "degrade" its nuclear program, the U.S. treats a "rules-based order" as a tool for managing challenges to its power, not as a neutral system of justice. The accusation that Iran is a "spoiler" is the accusation of the powerful against the powerless who refuse to accept their fate.
What a infantile discussion .its the west wanting to controle energie and trade . To create the unipolar world . The rest is noise .the west against the east .the brookingsinstitute paper what path to persia published in 2009 allready sets out the futurd we live in now . ..
Problem. MOU = Memorandum of Understanding. Trump understands very little.
O
Owen P18 Jul 2026
And here we go again. Just in time for the oil prices to have a panic attack.
C
Cal from Daily JunctionHost18 Jul 2026
Absolute chaos in the Strait! That tactical breakdown of how Iran holds the leverage is eye-opening. Things are heating up fast between the US and Tehran—who do you reckon actually controls the narrative here? Let me know your thoughts below!
The Americans and Israelis have shown themselves to be the biggest bullies in the world. Shame on them. Iran is fighting for its survival against two nuclear super powers who attacked them in a totally unjust, illegal war.
Why can't we admit that the US has never been an honest broker. All the time we're always finding excuses for Western atrocities, but condemning the attacked!
Point 5 of the June 2026 US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) mandates the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
It requires Iran to use its best efforts to facilitate safe, charge-free commercial passage for 60 days, clear military obstacles and mines within 30 days, and hold future administrative dialogues with Oman.
The full text of the provision stipulates: Safe and Free Passage: Iran will make arrangements using its best efforts to allow commercial vessels safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz with no charge for a 60-day period.
Demining and Obstacle Removal: Recognizing the need to clear tactical and military obstacles and remove mines, Iran commits to instating this traffic within 30 days.
Future Management: Iran will conduct dialogue with the Sultanate of Oman, alongside other Persian Gulf states and in line with international law, to define the future administration and maritime services for the waterway.
This war is just going to smolder along with the odd increase in tempo from time to time. The US can't afford the cost of a knockout blow, like a ground invasion, and Iran isn't strong enough to force the US to leave the Gulf.
The US will always be in conflict with other countries, until they realise they are one of the stakeholders of the world, and not the sole owner. They just need to stop electing malignant narcissists. It seems to be their most common choice of leaders.
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The Thucydides trap is not an inevitable law of history. It is the consequence of a hubris that insists on a unipolar world long after its time has passed. The U.S. response to Iran's assertion of sovereignty confirms the centrality of the Thucydidean logic. By targeting Iran's ability to influence the Strait of Hormuz and launching campaigns to "degrade" its nuclear program, the U.S. treats a "rules-based order" as a tool for managing challenges to its power, not as a neutral system of justice. The accusation that Iran is a "spoiler" is the accusation of the powerful against the powerless who refuse to accept their fate.
Orange And Present Danger
What a time to be an American.
It requires Iran to use its best efforts to facilitate safe, charge-free commercial passage for 60 days, clear military obstacles and mines within 30 days, and hold future administrative dialogues with Oman.
The full text of the provision stipulates: Safe and Free Passage: Iran will make arrangements using its best efforts to allow commercial vessels safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz with no charge for a 60-day period.
Demining and Obstacle Removal: Recognizing the need to clear tactical and military obstacles and remove mines, Iran commits to instating this traffic within 30 days.
Future Management: Iran will conduct dialogue with the Sultanate of Oman, alongside other Persian Gulf states and in line with international law, to define the future administration and maritime services for the waterway.